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13 Nearing Leeward Islands

Tropical Depression 13 is now only 250 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands. It is moving at 21 mph to the west-northwest, and that should continue for the next few days.

13 should gradually strengthen and become a tropical storm over the weekend. 
It should move near the northern Leeward Islands late today, near Puerto Rico Shabbos, and near Hispaniola Motzei Shabbos. 
13 could be near or at hurricane strength when it moves near or over Florida next week. 

The National Hurricane Center said earlier this morning about 13 that "The intensity forecast remains low confidence.  The separation 
between the low- and mid-level centers, as well as some westerly 
shear and dry air entrainment, suggests that significant 
strengthening is unlikely during the next 24 h or so.  The dynamical 
models suggests the centers will become more vertically aligned 
around 36-48 h and that the shear should diminish.  However, the 
system could be close to Hispaniola during this time, and be near 
Cuba thereafter, especially if it moves south of the forecast track. 
The upper-level winds over the Gulf of Mexico should be generally 
favorable for development if the cyclone doesn't get too close to 
Tropical Depression Fourteen.  The possibilities range from the 
system degenerating to an open wave as seen in the GFS and ECMWF to a major hurricane as seen in the HWRF."
Basically, it is still "very disorganized" this morning and there is a good deal of uncertainty. It will likely get organized and strengthen in the 2 to 3 day time frame, but that is dependent on it not drifting southwards over some islands. But it is more likely to move more northwards if it is stronger, so it is kind of tricky. To get stronger, it needs to move northwards, but to move northwards, it need to get stronger. 



MinyanCast: Today's Minyanim

Wednesday | June 14

This product is updated daily at 10:30pm for the next day, and when conditions warrant throughout the day


6:00 - 9:00 am

60 rising to 67

Increasing clouds


2:00 - 8:00 pm

77 dropping to 74

Decreasing clouds


8:00 - 9:00 pm

74 dropping to 68

Mostly clear


9:00 - 11:30 pm

68 dropping to 60

Clear skies

MinyanCast: Shabbos Minyanim

Shabbos | Parshas Korach | June 16-17

This product is updated daily for the upcoming Shabbos

Friday Evening

6:00 - 9:00 pm

77 dropping to 73

Some clouds

To Shacharis

7:00 - 9:30 am

57 rising to 66


From Shacharis

9:30 am - 12:30 pm

66 rising to 78



2:00 - 8:30 pm

83 dropping to 81

Mostly sunny


9:00 - 10:00 pm

80 dropping to 78

Partly clear

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