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Grading Our Winter Storm Forecast

    Looking over our forecast and what actually happened, we were close though not exact.

Our predictions for 6 to 9 inches were a bit above reality. However, snowfall totals of 5 to 6 inches were reported in the area. 
The National Weather Service official observation graphic shows similar results - 5 to 6 inches here. 

We anticipated the 2-4 inch snowfall Sunday. The ice was underestimated, though no significant impact came of the ice. 

3-5 inches Sunday, uncertainty Monday with the potential for another few inches. Possible changeover to a snow/ice mix. 
"-Snow Sunday, possibly 3-5"
-Uncertain forecast for later Sunday through Monday
-Could have another few inches of snow
-Possible changeover to mix or even rain
-Precipitation could be snow (again) Monday night into Tuesday if the system is slow to clear out"

That was correct for Sunday, and did predict the mixed precipitation as well the slow moving storm. 

5 to 7 inches total with a trace of ice. 
"MinyanCast predicts that we will get the following:

Sunday: 3-5"

Sunday night: Trace of ice, coating of snow

Monday: 2-4" "

That was very accurate, although underestimating the ice totals.

Motzei Shabbos:
We upped the total to 6-9 inches, keeping the trace to 0.1 inches of ice. 
" Totals
  • Sunday: 3-5" of snow
  • Sunday night: trace of ice/sleet
  • Monday: 3-6" of snow"
"There is potential for very high snowfall totals (near a foot), but also a possible bust to factor into the forecast."

We went a bit too high on the snow, but did mention the bust factor. 
Overall, we were pretty accurate, as a total of 6 inches still fits the last forecast issued. We were more accurate with our first forecasts. 


MinyanCast: Today's Minyanim

Wednesday | June 14

This product is updated daily at 10:30pm for the next day, and when conditions warrant throughout the day


6:00 - 9:00 am

60 rising to 67

Increasing clouds


2:00 - 8:00 pm

77 dropping to 74

Decreasing clouds


8:00 - 9:00 pm

74 dropping to 68

Mostly clear


9:00 - 11:30 pm

68 dropping to 60

Clear skies

MinyanCast: Shabbos Minyanim

Shabbos | Parshas Korach | June 16-17

This product is updated daily for the upcoming Shabbos

Friday Evening

6:00 - 9:00 pm

77 dropping to 73

Some clouds

To Shacharis

7:00 - 9:30 am

57 rising to 66


From Shacharis

9:30 am - 12:30 pm

66 rising to 78



2:00 - 8:30 pm

83 dropping to 81

Mostly sunny


9:00 - 10:00 pm

80 dropping to 78

Partly clear

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